If a full-fledged war breaks out between India and Pakistan, then India has such a war strategy that it can bring Pakistan to its knees in just 24 hours. Yes, if after this Operation Sindoor, the issues between India and Pakistan escalate, which India wants, then India is ready with its new military strategy.
Recently another escalation has been seen taking place as on the morning of 8th May Pakistan tried to launch missile strikes on 15 Indian cities. Especially on military basis which was neutralised by our S400 air defence system Sudarshan Chakra. In response to this, India destroyed the Chinese made air defence system HQ9 of these nine cities.
Some were defence systems of the cantonments of the Pakistani military itself. Now how did this escalation happen? Its story is interesting because here India has played a very smart move. 7 May 2025 India avenges the Pahalgam terror attack by launching Operation Sindoor. In retaliation for 26 innocent people martyred in Pahalgam, India killed 80 terrorists.
You must know that Operation Sindoor was a joint operation of the Tri Forces of India i.e. Army, Air Force and Navy. But the exact roles of the Army and Navy have not been revealed yet. But this is also fully involved and deployed. Obviously, India is not going to reveal all its cards at once. Bet
ween 1:05 and 1:30 in the morning of 7th May, i.e. in just 25 minutes, India launched precision strikes at these nine places in Pakistan and PoK. These nine targets were on India’s radar for a long time. Because all these are either launchpads, headquarters or training camps of some terrorist organisation. For example, this is the stronghold of Murid’s Hafiz Saeed and his group Let.
This terrorist organization is the mastermind behind the Pahalgam attack and 2611. All the LET terrorists used to train here, at this very place. Next Bhawalpur This site is home to the world’s most wanted terrorist Masood Azhar and also the headquarters of Jaish-e-Mohammed. This organization was behind the Pulwama attack, the 2001 Parliament attack, and after attacking the same place, 10 family members of Masood Azhar were killed, which you must have seen in the news as well.
The next target was Barnala. It was chosen because it is a terror attack launching site of LET. And all the other locations either launch pads, headquarters or training camps of some terrorist organisation. And that is why Indian Intelligence Agencies selected only these nine places where after attacking, the capacity of terrorists like JeM, LeT and Hizbul Mujahideen could be neutralized.
We have made a complete list. Now if you see, India has played its bet very smartly. Because after the attack, India has clearly stated in its statement that all our attacks were extremely focused, measured and non- escalatory. That means we have attacked only the guilty terrorists.
There was no harm caused to Pakistani civilians or the Pakistani military. But this operation was conducted despite Pakistan’s nuclear and war threats.
In fact, this time India has given a clear message by crossing not only the LOC but also the international border. He even challenged Pakistan by cancelling the Indus Water Treaty. But at the same time India also showed the world that it is not an irresponsible country which would directly start a war. India absolutely does not want the bill of war to fall on us because we have a thriving economy with good relations with most countries and we also have a reputation.
But Pakistan can now respond to the challenge given by India in only two ways. Number one Pakistan can either back off. But in this case, it will get a clear message that this is a new India and hence it should stay within its limits from now onwards, otherwise the next strike can happen directly in Islamabad.
Number two, if Pakistan itself wants to escalate, then India will get an excuse to use its military muscle. So such a situation has been created for Pakistan that whatever Pakistan does, India has a powerful counter move ready which will be in India’s benefit only. But now look at this statement of the Pakistani Prime Minister after Operation Sindoor.
He has blatantly called Operation Sindoor an act of war. He said that this is a temporary pleasure for India because Pakistan is going to retaliate very soon. Their defence minister has also said that Pakistan is ready for an all-out war. And now as you might have seen the recent news is that the Pakistani Army has crossed the LOC and started cross firing in the Poonch region of Jammu and Kashmir in which 12 civilians have been killed.
So now looking at this whole situation it seems that this issue may further escalate. For which India is already ready. If Pakistan chooses the path of a full-fledged war, then India has such a war strategy that within just 24 hours India will strike Pakistan in such a way that Pakistan will tremble. And Pakistan, forget about launching a nuclear strike.
Perhaps Pakistan may not even be capable of retaliating against us. Because our new war strategy is the same old war strategies that we used in 1965, 71 and Kargil war. It has been completely redefined which will give us a huge advantage. Let me explain you exactly how. Look at this map, so many countries as you can see were occupied by Germany in just two years.
Can you believe that? Simply because he had a war strategy that made the Germans unbeatable despite having literally halved their army after the Treaty of Versailles. And today, this new war doctrine of India is also inspired by the same ultra successful military strategy of Germany. And you know what Pakistan knows this very well.
That’s why look at his preparations for war today. Let me show it on the map. This is Pakistan’s military deployment under completely normal circumstances. But now you can see it on the second map. When Economic Times tracked all Pakistan military deployments, it found that Pakistan has moved forces and fighter jets from its existing bases or halved the forces and heavily deployed the remaining forces mostly towards PoK and Karachi.
I will tell you the reason behind this later. But these yellow dots that are visible, Pakistan has recently deployed thousands of SSG commandos, that is, its most highly trained Pakistani soldiers. Wherever you see the purple dots, Pakistan has installed Chinese made A100 multibarrier rocket launchers and KRL 122 such dangerous long range missile launchers which have the capability to destroy Indian fighter jets as soon as they enter.
And in the blue dots that are visible, Pakistan has deployed highly advanced F16 and JF7 fighter jets which can quickly enter India and carry out massive air strikes. And this is largely because of India’s new war strategy which even Pakistan knows can give a huge advantage to India. But you will not believe how India got this new war strategy? Well from the 2001 Parliament attack.
So, it was on 13 December 2001. Five terrorists of Jaish-e-Mohammed had attacked the Indian Parliament.
In which nine people were killed. Everyone thought that India did not give any response to this attack. But very few people knew that India had already planned the counter attack through Operation Parakram. But unfortunately, this operation proved to be the biggest failure of the Indian Army. And so, what is the cold start strategy and why is it needed? To understand this, first we have to decode our failure.
So, as you know, since independence, India’s military policy has not been offensive but defensive. We used to follow Sundarji Doctrine for military attacks. On which the entire strategy of Operation Parakram was based. So as soon as this operation started, the first stage of Sundarji Doctrine got activated.
Under this, seven battalions of soldiers were formed, each battalion had 20,000 soldiers and some tanks. These were called Holding Corps which had to secure all the borders with Pakistan. So, point to note here is that they had to hold and stop all the attacks coming from Pakistan and not attack the enemy. Yes, even if needed, the Holding Corps were not given permission and training to take up offensive positions i.e. to attack inside Pakistan.
Because only the Strike Corps, an army of 60,000 soldiers, was trained for that task. Whose job was to enter Pakistan and attack. But these strike cops were based only in Mathura, Ambala and Bhopal sectors of Central India. So as soon as orders were received to carry out Operation Parakram, this army started travelling from Central India towards the Pakistan border.
And this is exactly where everything went wrong. The whole mission failed because of this. Because there were three most major flosses in Sundar ji doctrine. First slow deployment. Just think yourself, such a huge army of 60,000 had to cross a distance of 500 to 600 kilometres from here to there. It took them three weeks to do this and by that time Pakistan had become alert and they immediately took the support of global diplomacy and the US due to which India was forced to stop the war. Second major flaw, no
surprise attack. Friend, in this time Pakistan got enough time to immediately deploy its soldiers on the border. Third flaw, weak holding cops. Now, in about three weeks, by the time Pakistan realised that Indian forces were coming there and brought its army, between these two events, the holding corps, that is, the army of 1,40,000 which was already deployed on the border, could attack Pakistan.
But he had neither official permission nor training under the Sundarji Doctrine. So, Pakistan exactly took advantage of this vulnerability and on January 12, 2002, Musharraf gave a speech in which he condemned terrorism. It must be stamped out with the same zeal with which the fight against terrorism is being pursued. This made it difficult to justify India’s counter attack.
Because even after this, if India had attacked, we would have been looked like an aggressor. And finally, after 10 months of standoff, India had to quietly withdraw its forces. But fortunately, we learnt one thing from this that Sundar ji doctrine has become totally outdated and especially in front of neighbours like Pakistan, no matter how much we try to be peaceful, but if our neighbour himself is aggressive then in such a situation being peaceful will be a weakness.
And that is why in the year 2004, India developed a new doctrine. The Cold Start Doctrine is actually heavily inspired by Germany’s World War Two military strategy called Blitzkrieg. Blitzkrieg i.e. Lightning Strike was an ultra-successful war strategy of the Germans with the help of which they captured the whole of Europe in just two years in World War 2.
Can you imagine that? All these countries shown in the map were won by Germany with just one Blitzkrieg strategy. Let us understand this from the French invention. After World War One, France already knew that in the future if it faced any threat from any country, it would only be Germany.
And that’s why in 1930 itself; he spent the equivalent of $9 billion today to build the Maginot Line, the most advanced border of the time, on the French eastern borders. A border defence system in which a dozen forts were built which were difficult to penetrate even with a nuclear attack, let alone crush with bombs and tanks.
The Magin Line was the strongest fortification ever built with underground railway stations, hospitals and the ability to stop nuclear fire. On top of that, as you must be knowing, after Germany’s defeat in World War One, they were forced to reduce their army. So, the German army was very small in front of the French army.
Comes in at the end of the war limits the German army to a maximum size of 1000 men which means that they have 10 divisions which is a tiny amount if you compare that to the French army of the time which has about 85 divisions stunned. But the Germans made their limited resources their biggest weapon.
And this is where his Blitzkrieg strategy came into the picture, whose simple idea was speed, surprise and synchronized attack. 10th May 1940, France was sitting confidently behind its Maginot Line, thinking that Germany would attack from here. But France made a mistake. He underestimated the Germans. France was fully confident that not only Germany but no army could cross the dense forests of Ardennes and that too with tanks was absolutely impossible.
In fact, French Marshal Philip Britain had declared these forests impenetrable. But what was Blitz Creek’s first strategy? Surprise. And that is why, to attack France, the Germans demonstrated penetration of this impenetrable Forest of Arnes. The Germans did not create a large army but rather created smaller units of soldiers who were specialized for specific roles.
For example, upon entering, the soldiers formed an arrow-like formation with the engineers at the forefront. Their job was to clear the forest and make a path so that tanks and heavy equipment could pass. Then where the Ardennes forest ended, there was the Mios river. So next another specialized unit of engineers was appointed whose job was to build a bridge on that river as quickly as possible.
Engineers Begin Building Bridges for the Armor. Then behind these engineers was a unit of Panz tanks which had 600 tanks. The job of this unit was to destroy all the French army posts that came in its way. Now there were many more such specialized units. But I am covering it in short. Just so that you get the gist.
Now Britts Creek’s second strategy was speed. Germans worked day and night and covered a distance of 50 km per day. They infiltrated inside and that is why the forest which the French thought would take the Germans 15 days to cross, was crossed by the Germans in just two days. On 10th May 1940 he started the invasion. On 12th May, they were standing on the river Meuse and finally as soon as the French army got the news and was able to react, immediately showing its synchronized attacking skills, the German Air Force unit started air strikes on
French areas with its extremely loud bomber jets Tukes, due to which, on one hand, an atmosphere of fear spread throughout France and secondly, the French army was not able to counter attack properly. Now this technique was so effective that you won’t believe it. But in just six weeks Germany captured almost all of France.
Hoisted his swastika flag on Versailles Castle in Paris. Exactly the same place where the Germans were globally humiliated by making them sign the surrender after World War One in 1919. But all this was possible only because of the principles of Blitzkrieg strategy – surprise, speed, and synchronized attack – which helped Germany capture not only France but so many other countries in just two years.
Now India’s Cold Star Doctrine is also based on the same lines. UK’s renowned political scientist Dr Walter C Lodwick has published an extensive research paper at Harvard University on India’s old Sundarji Doctrine and new Cold Star Doctrine. In which he has given an in-depth analysis of how the new Cold Start Doctrine is better than the old one.
The first factor for size and deployment time. So unlike Sunder ji Doctrine, it had a massive strike cop force of 60,000 soldiers and moving them together was a huge task. Under the Cold Start Strategy, small army groups of 7000 to 8000 soldiers have been formed.
Which are called Integrated Battle Groups. In which tanks, artillery and air support units are also present. And each team is specialized to perform a specific task in war. Just like when the Germans crossed the RNS jungle, each team or specialized unit had its own tasks. Second factor: shock element.
Earlier, if an army of 60,000 had moved from Central India, Pakistan would have known about it in advance. But now since these will be small groups of 7000 to 8000 soldiers, the infiltration into enemy’s territory will be quick and silent. Mostly Max to Max within 72 Hours. Now if we look at the next factor is Army to Air Coordination and Operational Depth, in traditional warfare mostly it was the Indian Army which used to capture the territory by conducting a ground operation.
And the end goal of the operation was to capture the enemy’s deep territories like Lahore or Sialkot. But do you know what its disadvantage is? This becomes a strong reason for nuclear attack. Because according to Pakistan’s nuclear doctrine, if there is a threat to Pakistan’s existence or sovereignty, then it can use nuclear weapons.
But with the new Cold Start strategy the Army and Air Force would launch coordinated attacks similar to the German Army of World War Two. And the motive of IBG is not to capture any entire deep territory but just a 40 to 50 km area. The territory has to be seized. Its main advantage is that we can put pressure on Pakistan by staying below their nuclear red line so that Pakistan cannot justify the grounds for nuclear war globally.
And finally, in Cold Start, the earlier Holding Corps which had only a defensive role have now been redesignated as Pivot Corps which unlike before will now have access to Mobile Artillery Battle Tanks. Plus, the Pivot Corps also get formal military training with IBGs, so that apart from securing the border areas, they can also carry out offensive operations when needed.
Now, coming to the main question. If Indian Army launches a full-fledged war against Pakistan to retaliate to Pahalgam attack or Pakistan attacks us, then how will the first 24 hours of India Pakistan war look like this time? Especially because this would be the first official war fought under the Cold Star Doctrine.
Now first of all I have to make one thing very clear that whatever I am going to discuss now are all assumptions which are backed by very solid evidence but they are still assumptions. We will definitely draw some parallels by studying India’s old war strategies or counter attack strategies like Ori surgical strike etc.
But the main data we have used to map out the first 24 hours of India-Pakistan war is from the same Harvard University research paper by the same UK’s run-round political scientist Dr Walter C Ladwick, from whom we have understood about India’s Cold Star Strategy. Now it is obvious because this research paper is available in the public domain.
Therefore, India’s counter attack major will not be exactly the same but will be a modified version of it. But still, we can definitely get a fair idea from it. So come on let’s start. First of all, let’s talk about speed. So, if we take the example of Uri surgical strike, Indian forces started the operation at 12:30 in the night and by 4:00 in the morning the forces had returned safely and Pakistan did not even get a hint of it.
Quick and silent. In this the average speed of the force was 1 km by the way. But R. But this time if there is an attack, it will be from a cold start and that is why this time IBGs will go which will also include tanks and air force and their average speed will be around 3 km per hour and with this speed our forces can easily infiltrate 15 to 18 km area of Pakistan in the first 6 hours.
But of course, the next question comes that where will we enter from? Now it is clearly written in Harvey’s research paper that Indian IBGs can strike Pakistan from five different locations. And we have also seen on the map in which areas Pakistan has recently deployed its army. Firstly, for obvious reasons, they have deployed additional forces and missiles towards PoK.
And the second one is towards Karachi because all the important ports of Pakistan are located there. But fortunately, this area from Sindh towards Punjab has been left loosely guarded by only a few missile systems and regular border forces which are always present on the borders. Now in such a situation, if we look at all the past exercises of Cold Star Doctrine, all the mock exercises were conducted.
Right from Exercise Divya Astra to Sanghi Shakti, all have happened from Punjab to Rajasthan only. In which regions like Punjab and Sindh of Pakistan were simulated for the Indian forces. So because of these two reasons, there is a high chance that the Indian Army will also find such loose areas and infiltrate them from four or five directions and capture some areas.
Again, if we look at the experience of Uri, there is a high chance that for about 6 hours, Pakistan will not even get the news of entry into India. But after that, i.e. between 7 to 12 hours, there are high chances that Pakistani military may also get activated and start missile attacks, air strikes etc. on India.
But interestingly, according to many latest reports, on May 1st itself, the Indian Army deployed radar jammers on its entire western border with Pakistan. Due to which their missiles may get misguided. Apart from this, as you saw, as soon as the Pahalgam attack happened, the IAF started deploying aircraft like Rafale, Mirage and Jaguar on the Pakistan border.
Just 5 days ago news of a scramble i.e. a clash between Indian Rafales had also come. So basically, as soon as the Coalition started, Germany launched a synchronized attack on France and also carried out heavy air strikes, which became difficult for France to counter, India can also adopt a similar strategy.
In fact, we have also demonstrated this in Operation Safed Sagar during the Kargil War. Now next, and this is news of May 6th, that Indian Navy has already been deployed in the Arabian Sea since April. Now you will remember that during Kargil, in Operation Talwar, our Navy had blocked the Pakistani ports and isolated Pakistan from global trade.
There is a high chance that the Indian Navy can plan a similar strategy this time too. Now, according to a credible news report, Pakistan only has enough ammunition i.e. artillery to fight for 96 hours. In fact, according to the news report of Pakistan Today, there is a shortage of the fuel used for fighter jets in Pakistan. And on top of that, as soon as Pakistan faced a war like situation with India, Pakistan asked for a loan of $1.4 billion dollars from China.
Whereas he has already exhausted the credit limit he got from China. Which clearly shows that they do not have the money to fight the war for long. Now in such a situation, if the Cold Star Strategy is successful and Pakistan sees India’s victory, then Pakistan will start threatening nuclear war in the international media.
And as soon as this happens, in the next few hours, i.e., in 12 to 24 hours, global diplomatic pressure will start increasing on India. UN, US, China all will ask India and Pakistan to deescalate immediately and then India can play its next move. India will try its best to Pakistan financially and isolate it internationally.
We can appeal to institutions like UN and other countries to declare Pakistan a rogue nation i.e. a failed state. And we can also request not to issue any financial support to Pakistan. Because clearly the financial aid that Pakistan receives is not for humanitarian development. This is clearly funding terrorist organisations.
But ultimately, only the Pakistani territories occupied by India will be useful in having a strong negotiation with Pakistan. And I am repeating that we have just created a possible scenario by studying the latest news reports and some research papers from all the data that is available in the public domain.
So, it is not that we are revealing some secret things. But India will definitely deploy its coal start strategy. This is just a sample of how it will be done and our military obviously knows this very well. Now there is a very high chance that Pakistan will never push for a full-scale war despite India’s action.
In fact, the Balakot air strike of 2019 is the biggest proof of this. As soon as Wing Commander Abhinandan was arrested by Pakistan, support for him increased suddenly in the country and our Indian Government also issued a warning to Pakistan. If anything happens to our Wing Commander, Pakistan will not be able to forget the consequences.
But India did not calm down just by giving threats. The Indian military went on high alert. We were ready for war. Plus, India put such massive diplomatic pressure on Pakistan from across the world that ultimately their MP himself said on record that Pakistan’s Army Chief Bajwa ‘s hands were literally shaking and Pakistan ‘s Foreign Minister told the PM to release Abhinandan immediately.
I remember Shah Mahmood Qureshi Sahib was present in the meeting in which the Prime Minister refused to come and the Chief of Army Staff attended. My legs were trembling. There was sweat on my forehead and Shah Mahmood Sahib, the Foreign Minister, said to me that for God’s sake, let him go back now.
Because at 9:00 pm India is attacking Pakistan. Then on 1st March 2019, PM Imran Khan announced in the Parliament that Pakistan is releasing Abhinandan as a peace gesture. But the real reason wasn’t the grind. The real reason was fear. Fear of India’s military retaliation. Because of our current military policy, Pakistan knows that we not only talk but we also take action.
And that is why Pakistan feared not only military retaliation but also global isolation. Even today, Pakistan’s US envoys i.e. diplomats have said that we do not want to fight with a big country like India. And don’t forget. This time even the US seems to be tilting more towards India. And that is why according to me it is in the best interest of Pakistan that it does not go for a full-fledged war.
But the ball is in the court of Pakistan now. If Pakistan is carrying out these small attacks, it should seriously consider that a full- fledged war can prove very costly for it. And at this moment there is another major vulnerability in Pakistan. At present, people in many states of Pakistan are not giving much support.
You must be aware that protests are suddenly emerging in different regions of Pakistan like Sindh Province, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Baluchistan and now even in POK. Terrorist attacks are happening. This increased drastically after the Pahalgam attack.
So, I hope a full-fledged war never happens between India and Pakistan. But I also hope that eventually India will have to establish peace with Pakistan in some way. Will the price of that piece be war? What do you think? Write your opinion in the comments below. Jai Hind.